10
ALEXANDER v. SOUTH CAROLINA STATE CONFERENCE
OF THE NAACP
KAGAN, J., dissenting
racial lines to engineer the results of elections (without the
justification of protecting minority voters’ rights). And litigation to remedy that harm is already none too easy. Because of the complex political context, this Court has required challengers of electoral maps to show that race was
not just a single but the “predominant” factor in moving voters between districts. Bethune-Hill, 580 U. S., at 187. That
is, and is meant to be, a demanding burden. But once plaintiffs have met it to a three-judge district court’s satisfaction,
their hardest job should be done. They should not have to
face an upside-down form of clear-error review, in which
this Court reverses if it decides there is a “possibility” of
seeing the evidence the State’s way. Ante, at 16. The principal effect of that novel rule will be to defeat valid votingdiscrimination claims.
And the majority is not yet done putting uncommon burdens on gerrymandered plaintiffs. From now on, those
plaintiffs will also be subject to an “adverse inference” unless they present a specific form of evidence—an “alternative map” that would “achieve[ the State’s] legitimate political objectives” while “producing significantly greater racial
balance.” Ante, at 30–31 (internal quotation marks omitted). And that inference gives every sign of packing a wallop. The majority labels it “dispositive in many, if not most,
cases,” except when the plaintiff presents (1) direct evidence of a gerrymander (say, an email admitting to the targeting of Black voters) or (2) “some extraordinarily powerful
circumstantial evidence such as the strangely irregular
twenty-eight-sided district lines” in Gomillion v. Lightfoot,
364 U. S. 339 (1960). Ante, at 31 (internal quotation marks
omitted). Think about that last category, as the majority
frames it. The majority must go back 65 years, to the most
grotesque racial gerrymander in the U. S. Reports, to find a
case based on circumstantial evidence that could have survived its adverse inference. How better to make the point: