Cite as: 602 U. S. ____ (2024)
25
KAGAN, J., dissenting
in South Carolina” this way:
“Yes—well, yes and no. I guess that’s fluid. It is fluid,
but yes. . . . Well, it’s not in every instance, but generally African Americans tend to vote higher, you know,
more—you can look at the polls—when you look at the
numbers after the fact—I didn’t look at them drawing
the map—but you see that in the numbers.” Id., at
381a.
And he contradicted common knowledge—as well as the
State’s own defense—when he point-blank denied that sorting people based on their voting behavior could result in racial disparities. See id., at 383a (“Q: You would agree with
me that if you . . . focus on partisan numbers, there’s a risk
that you might disproportionately impact Black voters in
drawing lines, right? A: No, I’m not going to agree with
that”). Would you buy what this man was selling? As the
contradictions, non-answers, and evasions mounted, the
District Court quite reasonably decided that it could not.
Put all this together, and the Challengers offered—even
before getting to their statistical studies—a more than
plausible case of racial gerrymandering. They showed that
the exclusion of voters from District 1 was racially disproportionate—not by a little but by a lot. They showed that
the State’s star mapmaker had always—always—before
considered race in drawing district lines. They showed why
he would want to do so here, to create a reliable Republican
tilt. They showed that the mapmaker configured his computer to exhibit in real time how every adjustment of a district line affected the district’s racial make-up. And they
showed that after moving nearly 200,000 residents this way
and that, the mapmaker managed to land on the exact
BVAP figure he knew would ensure his political goal. Now
it is true that the State, when confronted with this evidence, did not confess error, as the majority comes close to
demanding. Its officials, as you might expect, adamantly