Kiefel
CJ
Bell
J
Keane
J
Nettle
J
Gordon
J
Edelman J
6.
in a Division is produced to the Assistant Returning Officer in that Division19 and
placed in a sealed envelope. In the lead up to election night, Australian Electoral
Officers actively monitor potential issues to be alert to potential deviations from
the identified TCP Candidates.
18
At each polling place in every Division, after the close of polling
(at 6.00 pm on polling day in the applicable time zone) and in view of the
scrutineers, the Assistant Returning Officer opens the sealed envelope containing
the names of the TCP Candidates and announces those names to everyone
present (including the scrutineers).
19
Then, after the first preference count20, the ballot papers for the TCP
Candidates for that Division are removed to a secure area and the ballot papers
for the remaining candidates are notionally allocated to the TCP Candidate for
whom a higher preference has been expressed on the ballot paper. The result of
the allocation of ballot papers to the TCP Candidates – the Indicative TCP
Count – for each polling place is telephoned to the Divisional Returning Officer
for the Division. The Divisional Returning Officer progressively enters the
Indicative TCP Count for each polling place into the Commission's Election
Management System. The Election Management System updates a webpage on
the Commission's website, "The Tally Room".
20
From the close of polls in the principal time zone of a Division, or shortly
thereafter, the Tally Room displays the identity of the TCP Candidates in respect
of whom the Indicative TCP Count will be undertaken and, once information
about the Indicative TCP Count for each polling place begins to be received into
the Election Management System, the Commission uses a "matched polling place
method" to calculate a "matched polling place projection" in each Division.
21
The matched polling place projection is a prediction of the Indicative TCP
Count in the Division, expressed as a "swing" in the Division since the last
election. It is calculated by comparing the Indicative TCP Count in a polling
place with the votes received at the same polling place in the previous election.
The Commission explained, in a publication regarding the electoral process,
that the "matched polling place method relies on the empirical fact that swings to
or from political parties or candidates tend not to vary greatly within electoral
19
Pursuant to Electoral Act, s 274(2A).
20
See [13] above.