28
RUCHO v. COMMON CAUSE
KAGAN, J., dissenting
Illicit purpose was simple to show here only because politicians and mapmakers thought their actions could not be
attacked in court. See Rucho, 318 F. Supp. 3d, at 808
(quoting Lewis’s statements to that effect). They therefore
felt free to openly proclaim their intent to entrench their
party in office. See supra, at 4–6. But if the Court today
had declared that behavior justiciable, such smoking guns
would all but disappear. Even assuming some officials
continued to try implementing extreme partisan gerrymanders,5 they would not brag about their efforts. So
plaintiffs would have to prove the intent to entrench
through circumstantial evidence—essentially showing
that no other explanation (no geographic feature or nonpartisan districting objective) could explain the districting
plan’s vote dilutive effects. And that would be impossible
unless those effects were even more than substantial—
unless mapmakers had packed and cracked with abandon
in unprecedented ways. As again, they did here. That the
two courts below found constitutional violations does not
mean their tests were unrigorous; it means that the conduct they confronted was constitutionally appalling—by
even the strictest measure, inordinately partisan.
The majority, in the end, fails to understand both the
plaintiffs’ claims and the decisions below. Everything in
today’s opinion assumes that these cases grew out of a
“desire for proportional representation” or, more generally
phrased, a “fair share of political power.” Ante, at 16, 21.
And everything in it assumes that the courts below had to
(and did) decide what that fair share would be. But that is
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5 A decision of this Court invalidating the North Carolina and Maryland gerrymanders would of course have curbed much of that behavior.
In districting cases no less than others, officials respond to what this
Court determines the law to sanction. See, e.g., Charles & FuentesRohwer, Judicial Intervention as Judicial Restraint, 132 Harv. L. Rev.
236, 269 (2018) (discussing how the Court’s prohibition of racial gerrymanders affected districting).