International Foundation for Electoral Systems
Independent Electoral Commission & 2 Others, the Supreme Court of Kenya held that in electoral
disputes, “the standard of proof remains higher than the balance of probabilities but lower than beyond
reasonable doubt and where allegations of criminal or quasi criminal nature are made, it is proof beyond
reasonable doubt.”89 Since this case did not turn on allegation of fraud or other criminal misconduct, the
court applied the intermediate standard of clear and convincing evidence. In its judgment on the 2001
Zambian presidential election petition against President Levy Mwanawasa, the Supreme Court of
Zambia referred to its previous case of Lewanika v. Chiluba, which affirmed that “it cannot be seriously
disputed that Parliamentary Election Petitions have generally long required to be proved to a standard
higher than on a mere balance of probability.”90 Similarly, in a presidential election petition where the
ruling of the court can affect the governance of the nation and the deployment of constitutional power
and authority, “a fairly high degree of convincing clarity is required.”91 The gravity and public importance
of certain issues involved in a complaint can require that the standard of proof be raised.92
The choice of what standard to apply to each type of electoral complaint might be made by the EMB, set
by legislation, or even mandated in a national Constitution. Regardless, the exact standard to be applied in
any particular case should be established in advance of the hearing rather than chosen by the arbiter on an
ad hoc basis.93 Given the differences between legal systems, as well as the different kinds of issues
raised by different cases, a diversity of approaches to the standard of evidence required in annulments
around the world is to be expected.94 However, there remains a strong argument that, given the serious
consequences of annulment, a higher standard of proof should be required to overturn the results of an
election. A number of commentators have argued for “clear and convincing” as the appropriate
standard in challenges to election results, and this standard also seems to have become the default
standard of evidence in international civil law.95
Timeline
Even more than other election-related cases, challenges to election results need to be resolved quickly
to preserve the integrity of the election outcome and to avoid prolonged uncertainty around
governance. Failure to establish the results of an election can delay the formation of legislatures and
“clear, convincing, and unambiguous evidence”); Military and Paramilitary Activities in and Against Nicaragua
(Nicar. v. U.S.), 1986 ICJ. 14 (June 27) (applying an unnamed standard between reasonable doubt and
preponderance of the evIdence), http://www.icj-cij.org/docket/files/70/6503.pdf.
89
Raila Amolo Odinga & Another v. Independent Electoral Commission & 2 Others (2017), para 152.
90
Lewanika v. Chiluba, (1998) ZLR 86 [SC] (Zam.), http://www.saflii.org/zm/cases/ZMSC/1998/11.pdf; see also
Mazoka v. Mwanawasa, (2002) S.C.Z./EP/01/02/03/2002 (Zam.).
91
Mazoka v. Mwanawasa, (2002) S.C.Z./EP/01/02/03/2002 (Zam.).
92
Bater v. Bater, [1951] P. 35, 37 (C.A.) (U.K.).
93
See supra Part 2 (describing the international standard of a clearly defined regimen of electoral standards and
procedures).
94
See discussion in GUARDE, 66.
95
Louis Henkin, How Nations Behave: Law and Foreign Policy 142 (2d ed. 1979); Dinah Shelton, Judicial Review of
State Action by International Courts, 12 Fordham Int’l L.J. 361 (1989); Christopher Greenwood, International Law
and the United States’ Air Operation Against Libya, 89 W. Va. L. Rev. 933 (1987).
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