Cite as: 602 U. S. ____ (2024)
23
KAGAN, J., dissenting
what happened was of no particular note—just that the District’s BVAP “stayed more or less constant.” Ante, at 15.
But consider: With approximately a quarter of District 1’s
population moving in or out, the district’s BVAP shifted by
. . . one-tenth of one percentage point. The District Court
observed that uncanny stability, knowing that racial data
was at the mapmakers’ fingertips. See 649 F. Supp. 3d, at
191. And the court, as addressed shortly, had heard statistical experts deny that the racially disparate districting
could have come about through political sorting. See infra,
at 26–33. So it was no large step—and hardly clear error—
for the court to conclude that the mapmakers had gerrymandered Charleston County to achieve “a target of 17%”
BVAP. 649 F. Supp. 3d, at 193.
As against all that, what does the majority offer? Only a
series of self-serving denials. The sum and substance of the
State’s case came from the testimony of Roberts and State
Senator George Campsen, who was the redistricting plan’s
sponsor. Yes, the new map, Roberts conceded, had a “tremendous” racial skew. J. S. A. 262a. But Roberts and
Campsen maintained that they had never sorted by race—
never used their (constantly accessible) racial data to draw
district lines. Both insisted that they had looked only to
voting results from the 2020 election to ensure their partisan goal. The majority buys it—hook, line, and sinker. Indeed, the majority relies on nothing else. It treats Roberts’s
and Campsen’s account as a “fact of the matter,” rather
than a vigorously contested assertion. Cooper, 581 U. S., at
307, n. 6; see, e.g., ante, at 8–10. The majority trusts the
two State witnesses, and believes what they said.
The problem is that the three judges who sat on the District Court did not. And they are the ones entitled to make
credibility judgments. See supra, at 5; Cooper, 581 U. S., at
309 (“[W]e give singular deference to a trial court’s judgments about the credibility of witnesses”). That is for an
obvious reason: They were there. They could assess every