Cite as: 581 U. S. ____ (2017)
27
Opinion of the Court
discovered that doing so made essentially no difference:
For example, only 18% of the region’s white Democrats
wound up in District 12, whereas 65% of the black Democrats did. See id., at 332. The upshot was that, regardless
of party, a black voter was three to four times more likely
than a white voter to cast his ballot within District 12’s
borders. See ibid. Those stark disparities led Ansolabehere to conclude that “race, and not party,” was “the
dominant factor” in District 12’s design. Id., at 337.14 His
report, as the District Court held, thus tended to confirm
the plaintiffs’ direct evidence of racial predominance. See
159 F. Supp. 3d, at 620–621.
The District Court’s assessment that all this evidence
proved racial predominance clears the bar of clear error
review. The court emphasized that the districting plan’s
own architects had repeatedly described the influx of
African-Americans into District 12 as a §5 compliance
measure, not a side-effect of political gerrymandering.
——————
14 Hofeller did not dispute Ansolabehere’s figures, but questioned his
inference. Those striking patterns, the mapmaker claimed, were
nothing more than the result of his own reliance on voting data from
the 2008 Presidential election—because that information (i.e., who
voted for Obama and who for McCain) tracked race better than it did
party registration. See App. 1101, 1111–1114; cf. Cromartie II, 532
U. S. 234, 245 (2001) (recognizing that “party registration and party
preference do not always correspond”). As we have just recounted,
however, the District Court had other reasons to disbelieve Hofeller’s
testimony that he used solely that electoral data to draw District 12’s
lines. See supra, at 25–26. And Ansolabehere contended that even if
Hofeller did so, that choice of data could itself suggest an intent to sort
voters by race. Voting results from a “single [Presidential] election
with a Black candidate,” Ansolabehere explained, would be a ��problematic and unusual” indicator of future party preference, because of the
racial dynamics peculiar to such a match-up. App. 341; see id., at 342–
343. That data would, indeed, be much more useful as a reflection of an
area’s racial composition: “The Obama vote,” Ansolabehere found, is “an
extremely strong positive indicator of the location of Black registered
voters” and, conversely, an “extremely strong negative indicator of the
location of White registered voters.” Id., at 342; see id., at 2546–2550.
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