30
ALEXANDER v. SOUTH CAROLINA STATE CONFERENCE
OF THE NAACP
KAGAN, J., dissenting
Ante, at 23. Says the majority: District 6 “precincts near
[Colleton C]ounty’s northern border with Bamberg County
could not have been moved into District 1 without egregiously flouting the State’s important interests in contiguity or compactness.” Ante, at 24. That is true: As the map
shows, District 6 is fat, and the precincts the majority mentions are far away from the District 1-District 6 line. See
Appendix, infra, at 35, Figure 1. But of course this case has
nothing to do with those outermost District 6 precincts, or
even with the closer-in District 6 precincts that could have
been moved into District 1. The sole issue here, again, is
whether the State disproportionately selected heavily African-American precincts to move out of District 1. When it
gets around to that issue, the majority says: “[T]he same
problem” as in its example “arises with respect to the question whether a precinct in District 1 . . . could have been
moved into District 6.” Ante, at 24. But that is not true, for
self-evident reasons. As just described—and shown on the
map—the old District 1 was thin, and the great bulk of its
precincts were close to the District 1-District 6 line. See
Appendix, infra, at 35, Figure 1. So they could have been
moved “without egregiously flouting”—actually, without
flouting at all—“the State’s important interests in contiguity or compactness.” Ante, at 24. The majority’s inapt comparison is revelatory in one sense only: It shows why appellate courts are supposed to use a clear-error standard—to
make sure we are fixing, not introducing, mistakes.
The majority’s other main criticism, aimed solely at Ragusa, is original to this Court: It was never raised or considered below (or, as far as I know, in other voting suits).
The objection relates to the way Ragusa measured each precinct’s partisan tilt. He asked how many 2020 Biden voters
lived in a precinct relative to its voting-age population. So,
for example, a 1,250-person precinct with 700 Biden voters
would count as much more Democratic than the same-sized
precinct with 350 Biden voters. The majority says that