Cite as: 602 U. S. ____ (2024)
15
Opinion of the Court
erts, the non-partisan career employee who drew the Enacted Map, testified that he used only political data, and his
colleagues likewise steadfastly denied using race in drawing the Enacted Map. None of the facts on which the District Court relied to infer a racial motive is sufficient to support an inference that can overcome the presumption of
legislative good faith.
First, the District Court inferred a racial motive from the
fact that District 1’s BVAP stayed around 17% “[d]espite all
of th[e] changes” that South Carolina made during the redistricting process. 649 F. Supp. 3d, at 191. But where race
and partisan preferences are very closely tied, as they are
here, the mere fact that District 1’s BVAP stayed more or
less constant proves very little. If 100% of black voters
voted for Democratic candidates, it is obvious that any map
with the partisan breakdown that the legislature sought in
District 1—something in the range of 54% Republican to
46% Democratic—would inevitably involve the removal of a
disproportionate number of black voters. And since roughly
90% of black voters cast their ballots for Democratic candidates, the same phenomenon is very likely.
The District Court’s own findings substantiate the tight
correlation between the legislature’s partisan aim and District 1’s BVAP. During the redistricting process, the State
considered a variety of maps, including those submitted by
the Challengers. Maps with a Democratic-leaning District
1 had BVAP percentages that generally ranged between
21% to 24%. See App. 83; J. S. A. Supp. 142a. The District
Court itself concluded that a 17% BVAP “produced a Republican tilt,” a 20% BVAP “produced a ‘toss up district,’ ” and
a 21% to 24% BVAP “produced a Democratic tilt.” 649
F. Supp. 3d, at 188. And the Challengers cannot point to
even one map in the record that would have satisfied the
legislature’s political aim and had a BVAP above 17%.
Thus, there is strong evidence that the district’s BVAP of
17% was simply a side effect of the legislature’s partisan